Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.85 – 83.71

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.9 ±14.4

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 25.38Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 11.76Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6155ElektraBots

Season APEX 16.9Event APEX -1.29Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.6 ±11.2

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 3.26Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 27.61Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 52.84Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3481, 5726, 6155

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3481, 5726, 6155

Auto

11.5 35%

Teleop

11.6 36%

Endgame

9.4 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9311, 8088, 5572

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9311, 8088, 5572

Auto

24.3 30%

Teleop

34.5 42%

Endgame

22.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.9pts

Blue projected score83.7pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.9
Score range: 23–97
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 90 vs event baseline 73.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.9Season APEX366.6

11.5Auto24.3

11.6Teleop34.5

9.4Endgame22.8

137Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	18
teleop	9	30
endgame	7	13
foul	0	0
total	29	61

Result

Final score

29 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree