Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.17 – 48.2

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

61 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.3 ±13.9

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 39.83Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9419VULCAN

Season APEX 15.9Event APEX -0.42Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX -0.24Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 97.2 ±12.7

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 11.92Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 9.65Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 26.63Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 457, 9419, 10518

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 457, 9419, 10518

Auto

7.0 17%

Teleop

28.2 69%

Endgame

5.8 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5726, 2657, 6974

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5726, 2657, 6974

Auto

23.7 64%

Teleop

4.5 12%

Endgame

8.9 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.2pts

Blue projected score48.2pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9
Score range: 26–61
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 98 vs event baseline 72.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.3Season APEX97.2

7Auto23.7

28.2Teleop4.5

5.8Endgame8.9

127Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	13
teleop	24	18
endgame	28	6
foul	0	0
total	61	37

Result

Final score

61 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree