Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.31 – 11.61

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 40 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419 ±9.8

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 31.53Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 20.47Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 44.31Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 116.8 ±14.9

6155ElektraBots

Season APEX 16.9Event APEX -7.99Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -5.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 24.69Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 3679, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 3679, 3035

Auto

30.3 34%

Teleop

45.0 50%

Endgame

14.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6155, 11169, 9034

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6155, 11169, 9034

Auto

10.6 70%

Teleop

7.4 49%

Endgame

-2.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.3pts

Blue projected score11.6pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.7
Score range: -1–109
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 71.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419Season APEX116.8

30.3Auto10.6

45Teleop7.4

14.1Endgame-2.9

111Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	11
teleop	100	16
endgame	32	11
foul	0	0
total	150	38

Result

Final score

150 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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