Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
103.9 – 9.86
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
124 – 17
Prediction correct · off by 13.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 21.34Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 39.05Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 211Event APEX 43.51Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157 ±14.9
Season APEX 16.9Event APEX -6.91Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 8.81Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90Event APEX 7.96Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9034, 457, 2582
80
/ 100 compatProjected
103.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9034, 457, 2582
Auto
16.3 14%
Teleop
66.4 58%
Endgame
30.9 27%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6155, 9658, 4734
13
/ 100 compatProjected
9.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6155, 9658, 4734
Auto
17.9 100%
Teleop
-4.3 0%
Endgame
1.0 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score103.9pts
Blue projected score9.9pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 94
- Score range
- -2–116
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
386.7Season APEX157
16.3Auto17.9
66.4Teleop-4.3
30.9Endgame1
137Consistency141
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 14 |
| teleop | 68 | 3 |
| endgame | 23 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 124 | 17 |
Result
Final score
124 – 17
Prediction correct · off by 13.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree