Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

44.39 – 40.27

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 23.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.7 ±11.7

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 3.76Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 12.7Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 27.93Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±11.7

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 8.76Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 17.71Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 13.8Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3545, 10518, 8088

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3545, 10518, 8088

Auto

20.4 46%

Teleop

16.1 36%

Endgame

8.3 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4717, 3679, 9444

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4717, 3679, 9444

Auto

12.5 30%

Teleop

23.8 57%

Endgame

5.6 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.4pts

Blue projected score40.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.1
Score range: 28–56
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 69.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.7Season APEX204.5

20.4Auto12.5

16.1Teleop23.8

8.3Endgame5.6

127Consistency124

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	13
teleop	12	18
endgame	7	31
foul	5	25
total	45	87

Result

Final score

45 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 23.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree