Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.33 – 75.65

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 524.5 ±9.9

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 12.59Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 62.43Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 64.31Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213 ±11.7

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 27.6Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 38.58Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 9.47Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10312, 3035, 5572

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 3035, 5572

Auto

27.2 21%

Teleop

72.5 56%

Endgame

30.0 23%

Strengths

· 5572 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8507, 6357, 9311

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8507, 6357, 9311

Auto

14.3 18%

Teleop

45.1 56%

Endgame

21.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.3pts

Blue projected score75.7pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.7
Score range: 64–151
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 123 vs event baseline 67.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

524.5Season APEX213

27.2Auto14.3

72.5Teleop45.1

30Endgame21.5

111Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	18
teleop	41	13
endgame	7	0
foul	15	0
total	92	31

Result

Final score

92 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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