Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.24 – 77.6

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.1 ±12.8

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 13.88Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 5.84Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 1.52Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.7 ±11

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 18.5Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 16.59Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 42.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2969, 9658, 9311

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2969, 9658, 9311

Auto

4.5 21%

Teleop

13.3 63%

Endgame

3.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6974, 11169, 3679

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6974, 11169, 3679

Auto

24.2 31%

Teleop

32.9 42%

Endgame

20.9 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.2pts

Blue projected score77.6pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.4
Score range: 3–96
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 45 vs event baseline 99.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.1Season APEX180.7

4.5Auto24.2

13.3Teleop32.9

3.2Endgame20.9

29Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	23
teleop	7	8
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	14	31

Result

Final score

14 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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