Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 12.26
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
23 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.1 ±14.4
Season APEX 16.9Event APEX -13.04Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 28.3Event APEX -16.97Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 22.63Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±11
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 9.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX -1.82Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 4.66Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6155, 11309, 8088
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-7.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6155, 11309, 8088
Auto
6.3 0%
Teleop
-14.5 100%
Endgame
4.2 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10518, 8114, 5726
14
/ 100 compatProjected
12.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10518, 8114, 5726
Auto
14.4 100%
Teleop
-6.8 0%
Endgame
2.3 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-7.4pts
Blue projected score12.3pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.3
- Score range
- -13–25
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
130.1Season APEX161.6
6.3Auto14.4
-14.5Teleop-6.8
4.2Endgame2.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 11 |
| teleop | 6 | 1 |
| endgame | 5 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 23 | 37 |
Result
Final score
23 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree