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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

012.26

44%56%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

2337

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.1 ±14.4
Season APEX 16.9Event APEX -13.04Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 28.3Event APEX -16.97Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 22.63Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±11
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 9.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX -1.82Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 4.66Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6155, 11309, 8088
8
/ 100 compat
Projected
-7.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6155, 11309, 8088
Auto
6.3 0%
Teleop
-14.5 100%
Endgame
4.2 0%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10518, 8114, 5726
14
/ 100 compat
Projected
12.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10518, 8114, 5726
Auto
14.4 100%
Teleop
-6.8 0%
Endgame
2.3 23%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-7.4pts
Blue projected score12.3pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-12.3
Score range
-1325
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 60 vs event baseline 70.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.1Season APEX161.6
6.3Auto14.4
-14.5Teleop-6.8
4.2Endgame2.3
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1211
teleop61
endgame510
foul015
total2337

Result

Final score

2337

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree