Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.63 – 13.83

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.3 ±10.8

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 21.76Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 42.38Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 144.49Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.3 ±12.8

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -9.57Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 4.49Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 18.91Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2657, 3735, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2657, 3735, 6369

Auto

37.3 18%

Teleop

124.7 59%

Endgame

48.5 23%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3545, 3481, 9034

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3545, 3481, 9034

Auto

13.8 100%

Teleop

-11.7 0%

Endgame

10.6 83%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.6pts

Blue projected score13.8pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.8
Score range: 2–221
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 65.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.3Season APEX193.3

37.3Auto13.8

124.7Teleop-11.7

48.5Endgame10.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	24
teleop	94	30
endgame	32	23
foul	30	0
total	216	77

Result

Final score

216 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree