Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
8.74 – 50.51
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
32 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 110.4 ±15.3
Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 9.78Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 5.7Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 15.9Event APEX -6.74Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.8 ±11.1
Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 0.78Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 44.28Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 5.45Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9311, 10312, 9419
13
/ 100 compatProjected
8.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9311, 10312, 9419
Auto
9.4 100%
Teleop
-5.7 0%
Endgame
-1.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4610, 3035, 8732
55
/ 100 compatProjected
50.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4610, 3035, 8732
Auto
20.2 43%
Teleop
21.8 46%
Endgame
5.4 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 11%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score8.7pts
Blue projected score50.5pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 11%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.8
- Score range
- -3–63
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
110.4Season APEX302.8
9.4Auto20.2
-5.7Teleop21.8
-1.3Endgame5.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 18 |
| teleop | 10 | 60 |
| endgame | 6 | 10 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 32 | 98 |
Result
Final score
32 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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