Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.99 – 88.56

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.3 ±10.4

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 6.1Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 45.3Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 5.59Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.4 ±10.5

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 53.65Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 9.7Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 25.21Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2969, 457, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

57 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2969, 457, 9136

Auto

12.9 21%

Teleop

42.1 70%

Endgame

5.2 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5572, 6974, 8507

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 6974, 8507

Auto

28.4 33%

Teleop

38.2 45%

Endgame

18.9 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57pts

Blue projected score88.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.6
Score range: 46–100
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 62.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.3Season APEX345.4

12.9Auto28.4

42.1Teleop38.2

5.2Endgame18.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	14
teleop	42	67
endgame	8	32
foul	0	0
total	54	113

Result

Final score

54 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree