Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
21.82 – 20.12
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
51 – 85
Prediction missed · off by 47 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 90Event APEX 12.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 1.41Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 7.96Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±11.7
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 5.9Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 25.94Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX -11.72Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4734, 9444, 2657
22
/ 100 compatProjected
21.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4734, 9444, 2657
Auto
13.5 54%
Teleop
-0.1 0%
Endgame
11.5 46%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8088, 3561, 3240
26
/ 100 compatProjected
20.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8088, 3561, 3240
Auto
8.9 44%
Teleop
2.3 11%
Endgame
9.0 45%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score21.8pts
Blue projected score20.1pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.7
- Score range
- 9–33
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
192.2Season APEX192
13.5Auto8.9
-0.1Teleop2.3
11.5Endgame9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 21 |
| teleop | 19 | 37 |
| endgame | 10 | 27 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 51 | 85 |
Result
Final score
51 – 85
Prediction missed · off by 47 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree