Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
21.01 – 129.63
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
26 – 245
Prediction correct · off by 60.2 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 314.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 14.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 2.79Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 3.93Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.9 ±10
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 105.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 21.14Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 2.79Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9140, 4610, 9136
28
/ 100 compatProjected
21 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9140, 4610, 9136
Auto
8.2 42%
Teleop
2.7 14%
Endgame
8.6 44%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 14%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6369, 457, 4219
89
/ 100 compatProjected
129.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6369, 457, 4219
Auto
23.4 18%
Teleop
73.8 57%
Endgame
31.6 25%
Strengths
- · 6369 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 14%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score21pts
Blue projected score129.6pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 14%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -108.6
- Score range
- 10–141
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
314.6Season APEX511.9
8.2Auto23.4
2.7Teleop73.8
8.6Endgame31.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 30 |
| teleop | 8 | 167 |
| endgame | 1 | 48 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 26 | 245 |
Result
Final score
26 – 245
Prediction correct · off by 60.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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