Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.18 – 297.91

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

11 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127 ±14.4

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 15.41Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 18.9Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9419VULCAN

Season APEX 15.9Event APEX -3.13Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 629.1 ±8.8

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.91Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 71.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 200.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8114, 8732, 9419

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.2 pts

~0.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8114, 8732, 9419

Auto

11.5 53%

Teleop

3.0 14%

Endgame

7.4 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6357, 5572, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 5572, 6369

Auto

49.3 17%

Teleop

172.0 59%

Endgame

70.6 24%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.22 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.2pts

Blue projected score297.9pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -266.7
Score range: 13–316
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 99.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127Season APEX629.1

11.5Auto49.3

3Teleop172

7.4Endgame70.6

59Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	53
teleop	4	175
endgame	0	72
foul	0	0
total	11	300

Result

Final score

11 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.