Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

334.89 – 161.82

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±8.8

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 116.62Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 16.72Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 201.55Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536.9 ±9.3

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 67.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 16.58Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 78.13Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2582, 11169, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2582, 11169, 6369

Auto

54.1 16%

Teleop

193.8 59%

Endgame

82.2 25%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5572, 10518, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 10518, 3035

Auto

32.0 20%

Teleop

94.5 60%

Endgame

31.8 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score334.9pts

Blue projected score161.8pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 173.1
Score range: 145–352
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 548 vs event baseline 94.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.5Season APEX536.9

54.1Auto32

193.8Teleop94.5

82.2Endgame31.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	58
teleop	170	107
endgame	56	69
foul	5	0
total	314	234

Result

Final score

314 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 pts

Match videos

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