Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

81.43 – 0

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

15 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±10.4

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 46.39Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 13.84Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 21.2Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10118, 4295, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 4295, 5427

Auto

30.6 41%

Teleop

24.5 32%

Endgame

20.3 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9994, 9993, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9994, 9993, 9998

Auto

3.4 40%

Teleop

5.1 60%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.4pts

Blue projected score0pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.4
Score range: -18–99
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 15 vs event baseline 99.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.2Season APEX0

30.6Auto3.4

24.5Teleop5.1

20.3Endgame0

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	15	0
total	15	0

Result

Final score

15 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts