Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.53 – 46.3

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 26.92Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 62.94Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 49.67Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.8 ±11.6

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 2.18Rank 18Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 37.73Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 6.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8818, 5829, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5829, 10385

Auto

19.5 14%

Teleop

83.5 61%

Endgame

33.5 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4332, 4063, 8573

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4332, 4063, 8573

Auto

19.0 47%

Teleop

10.7 26%

Endgame

11.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.5pts

Blue projected score46.3pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.2
Score range: 28–158
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 98.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.8Season APEX174.8

19.5Auto19

83.5Teleop10.7

33.5Endgame11

10Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	18
teleop	118	19
endgame	48	37
foul	0	15
total	199	89

Result

Final score

199 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Match videos

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