Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.83 – 75.92

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 72.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.6 ±9.1

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -6.87Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 81.11Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 147.59Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±10.4

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 44.59Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 12.42Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 18.91Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 2583, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 2583, 118

Auto

44.8 21%

Teleop

130.9 60%

Endgame

42.6 20%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10118, 4295, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 4295, 5427

Auto

28.2 41%

Teleop

21.5 32%

Endgame

18.4 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.8pts

Blue projected score75.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 145.9
Score range: 59–239
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 95.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.6Season APEX265.2

44.8Auto28.2

130.9Teleop21.5

42.6Endgame18.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	43
teleop	196	50
endgame	58	37
foul	15	0
total	313	130

Result

Final score

313 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 72.6 pts

Match videos

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