Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.83 – 49.24

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 23.81Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 60.96Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 46.06Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9998Off-Season Demo Team 9998

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8818, 5829, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5829, 10385

Auto

17.3 14%

Teleop

78.2 61%

Endgame

31.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9994, 9993, 9998

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9994, 9993, 9998

Auto

14.8 30%

Teleop

24.6 50%

Endgame

9.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.8pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.6
Score range: 31–149
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 98.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.8Season APEX0

17.3Auto-

78.2Teleop-

31.8Endgame-

20Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	4
teleop	117	6
endgame	42	0
foul	0	0
total	187	0

Result

Final score

187 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts