Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.65 – 49.65

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 3

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.6 ±9.1

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -0.08Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 86.77Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 153.96Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 2583, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 2583, 118

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

141.1 60%

Endgame

51.4 22%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9996, 9995, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9996, 9995, 9997

Auto

14.9 30%

Teleop

24.8 50%

Endgame

9.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score240.7pts

Blue projected score49.6pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191
Score range: 32–259
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 99.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.6Season APEX0

44.1Auto-

141.1Teleop-

51.4Endgame-

0Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	0
teleop	98	3
endgame	12	0
foul	0	0
total	156	3

Result

Final score

156 – 3

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 pts