Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.39 – 80.62

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

137 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 29.46Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 65.87Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 52.06Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±10.4

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 46.14Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 13.64Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 20.84Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8818, 5829, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5829, 10385

Auto

24.4 17%

Teleop

83.2 58%

Endgame

36.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10118, 4295, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 4295, 5427

Auto

28.3 41%

Teleop

22.1 32%

Endgame

19.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.4pts

Blue projected score80.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.8
Score range: 63–165
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 98.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.8Season APEX265.2

24.4Auto28.3

83.2Teleop22.1

36.7Endgame19.3

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	26
teleop	69	24
endgame	30	15
foul	0	5
total	137	70

Result

Final score

137 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 pts

Match videos

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