Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.99 – 71.89
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
67 – 140
Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 86Event APEX 21.7Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 29.89Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 17.4Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 43.18Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 10.75Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 17.96Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2158, 6180, 5894
48
/ 100 compatProjected
69 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2158, 6180, 5894
Auto
23.0 36%
Teleop
26.6 42%
Endgame
14.1 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 10118, 4295, 5427
46
/ 100 compatProjected
71.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10118, 4295, 5427
Auto
25.7 40%
Teleop
21.6 34%
Endgame
17.1 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score69pts
Blue projected score71.9pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2.9
- Score range
- 51–90
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
144.5Season APEX265.2
23Auto25.7
26.6Teleop21.6
14.1Endgame17.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 46 |
| teleop | 20 | 25 |
| endgame | 15 | 34 |
| foul | 10 | 35 |
| total | 67 | 140 |
Result
Final score
67 – 140
Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts
Match videos
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