Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
53.91 – 66.06
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
49 – 85
Prediction correct · off by 11.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 4.65Rank 18Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 40.15Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 9.11Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 86Event APEX 20.57Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 29.03Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 16.46Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4332, 4063, 8573
37
/ 100 compatProjected
53.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4332, 4063, 8573
Auto
19.4 41%
Teleop
11.9 25%
Endgame
15.5 33%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2158, 6180, 5894
45
/ 100 compatProjected
66.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2158, 6180, 5894
Auto
23.8 39%
Teleop
24.1 40%
Endgame
12.9 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score53.9pts
Blue projected score66.1pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.2
- Score range
- 37–83
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
174.8Season APEX144.5
19.4Auto23.8
11.9Teleop24.1
15.5Endgame12.9
55Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 20 |
| teleop | 18 | 37 |
| endgame | 8 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 49 | 85 |
Result
Final score
49 – 85
Prediction correct · off by 11.9 pts
Match videos
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