Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.4 – 99.43
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
14 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 112 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 116.8 ±14.4
Season APEX 11.3Event APEX 31.54Rank 13Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 86Event APEX 32.19Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 20.67Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.4 ±9
Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 26.62Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 56.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 16.09Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8591, 2158, 5894
67
/ 100 compatProjected
84.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8591, 2158, 5894
Auto
28.5 35%
Teleop
24.8 31%
Endgame
27.5 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 4%
Blue · 10118, 118, 4063
79
/ 100 compatProjected
99.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10118, 118, 4063
Auto
34.8 35%
Teleop
46.1 46%
Endgame
19.9 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 4%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.4pts
Blue projected score99.4pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15
- Score range
- 70–113
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
116.8Season APEX405.4
28.5Auto34.8
24.8Teleop46.1
27.5Endgame19.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 66 |
| teleop | 4 | 143 |
| endgame | 0 | 44 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 14 | 253 |
Result
Final score
14 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 112 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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