Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.86 – 223.05

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.9 ±13.5

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 75.63Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 11.32Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8591Archangels

Season APEX 11.3Event APEX -1.09Rank 13Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.8 ±9.7

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 31.1Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 40.71Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 151.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2583, 8818, 8591

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2583, 8818, 8591

Auto

16.9 20%

Teleop

44.8 53%

Endgame

22.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 6180, 10118, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6180, 10118, 118

Auto

58.7 27%

Teleop

114.0 52%

Endgame

47.4 22%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.9pts

Blue projected score223.1pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.2
Score range: 69–240
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 95.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.9Season APEX329.8

16.9Auto58.7

44.8Teleop114

22.4Endgame47.4

14Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	62
teleop	86	137
endgame	104	40
foul	5	20
total	225	259

Result

Final score

225 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree