Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.35 – 10.02

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.3 ±11

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 41.9Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 11.15Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 19.3Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.7 ±11.6

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 1.15Rank 18Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 9.22Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -0.35Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4063, 8573, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4063, 8573, 5427

Auto

23.0 37%

Teleop

20.5 33%

Endgame

19.0 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4332, 4295, 4597

/ 100 compat

Projected

10 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4332, 4295, 4597

Auto

10.7 100%

Teleop

-10.8 0%

Endgame

1.1 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.4pts

Blue projected score10pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.3
Score range: -7–89
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 96.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.3Season APEX156.7

23Auto10.7

20.5Teleop-10.8

19Endgame1.1

10Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	17
teleop	26	14
endgame	16	17
foul	0	0
total	58	48

Result

Final score

58 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree