Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.91 – 174.16

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.7 ±11.7

8750Tarpontron1cs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 2.3Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 46.17Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 12.44Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.9 ±9.7

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 150.71Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 17.21Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 6.24Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8750, 10385, 8818

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8750, 10385, 8818

Auto

13.7 23%

Teleop

44.7 75%

Endgame

0.9 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 118, 5894, 4295

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 5894, 4295

Auto

43.1 26%

Teleop

88.3 52%

Endgame

36.8 22%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.9pts

Blue projected score174.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 5%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.2
Score range: 44–191
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 96.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.7Season APEX335.9

13.7Auto43.1

44.7Teleop88.3

0.9Endgame36.8

21Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	31
teleop	38	99
endgame	6	67
foul	0	0
total	65	197

Result

Final score

65 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree