Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.23 – 65.92

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 89.3 ±11.6

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 17.1Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 8.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 45.78Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.3 ±11.7

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 20.47Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 16.69Rank 15Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 28.76Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5894, 8573, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5894, 8573, 10118

Auto

28.2 42%

Teleop

18.7 28%

Endgame

20.7 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5427, 7521, 8818

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5427, 7521, 8818

Auto

16.8 29%

Teleop

25.5 45%

Endgame

14.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.2pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.3
Score range: 48–89
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 102.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

89.3Season APEX216.3

28.2Auto16.8

18.7Teleop25.5

20.7Endgame14.7

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	11
teleop	10	11
endgame	15	7
foul	0	15
total	58	44

Result

Final score

58 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.