Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.19 – 9.32

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.4 ±11

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 13.91Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 43.3Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 41.98Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.3 ±12.2

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 11.82Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8750Tarpontron1cs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 1.5Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -4Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5894, 10385, 4063

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5894, 10385, 4063

Auto

19.6 22%

Teleop

46.6 53%

Endgame

21.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8818, 8750, 4597

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 8750, 4597

Auto

12.8 100%

Teleop

14.6 100%

Endgame

-15.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.2pts

Blue projected score9.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.9
Score range: -9–117
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 97.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.4Season APEX128.3

19.6Auto12.8

46.6Teleop14.6

21.2Endgame-15.2

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	12
teleop	80	9
endgame	25	1
foul	0	0
total	144	22

Result

Final score

144 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree