Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.2 – 65.37

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.9 ±12.2

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 6.51Rank 15Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 43.74Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX -3.05Rank 18Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.9 ±10.4

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 12.9Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 35.04Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 17.43Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7521, 10118, 4332

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7521, 10118, 4332

Auto

21.2 48%

Teleop

12.0 27%

Endgame

11.3 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8818, 4063, 4295

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 4063, 4295

Auto

19.7 33%

Teleop

17.7 30%

Endgame

22.5 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.2pts

Blue projected score65.4pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.2
Score range: 30–82
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 96.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

128.9Season APEX252.9

21.2Auto19.7

12Teleop17.7

11.3Endgame22.5

59Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	19
teleop	18	46
endgame	7	8
foul	10	15
total	70	88

Result

Final score

70 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree