Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.75 – 236.7

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.1 ±11.1

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 47.1Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -5.04Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 7.69Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 616.5 ±8.4

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 135.1Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 75.86Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 25.74Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5829, 4597, 5894

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5829, 4597, 5894

Auto

14.9 31%

Teleop

29.3 60%

Endgame

4.4 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 118, 2583, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 2583, 5427

Auto

38.3 17%

Teleop

121.5 54%

Endgame

64.7 29%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.8pts

Blue projected score236.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -186.9
Score range: 34–253
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 448 vs event baseline 90.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.1Season APEX616.5

14.9Auto38.3

29.3Teleop121.5

4.4Endgame64.7

32Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	68
teleop	65	205
endgame	20	45
foul	5	10
total	120	328

Result

Final score

120 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree