Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.65 – 119.98

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 79 ±15.3

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 29.89Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8591Archangels

Season APEX 11.3Event APEX 3.42Rank 13Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7521ULTIMATE Robotics

Season APEX 28.7Event APEX 15.34Rank 15Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.9 ±10.5

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 48.21Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5894CyberJags

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 8.53Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 63.24Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6180, 8591, 7521

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6180, 8591, 7521

Auto

16.3 34%

Teleop

10.2 21%

Endgame

21.6 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4063, 5894, 2583

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4063, 5894, 2583

Auto

18.4 16%

Teleop

63.3 55%

Endgame

32.9 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.7pts

Blue projected score120pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.3
Score range: 34–135
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 84.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

79Season APEX384.9

16.3Auto18.4

10.2Teleop63.3

21.6Endgame32.9

70Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	44
teleop	24	62
endgame	16	25
foul	0	5
total	56	136

Result

Final score

56 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree