Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.64 – 136.29
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
33 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 24.22Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86Event APEX 12.47Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -13.05Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 73.94Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 61.04Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 1.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5427, 2158, 8750
17
/ 100 compatProjected
23.6 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5427, 2158, 8750
Auto
16.7 72%
Teleop
14.2 61%
Endgame
-7.6 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 2583, 4063, 8573
80
/ 100 compatProjected
136.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2583, 4063, 8573
Auto
24.9 18%
Teleop
83.9 61%
Endgame
29.3 21%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.6pts
Blue projected score136.3pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample100alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -112.6
- Score range
- 8–152
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
255.4Season APEX380.3
16.7Auto24.9
14.2Teleop83.9
-7.6Endgame29.3
132Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 29 |
| teleop | 14 | 62 |
| endgame | 4 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 137 |
Result
Final score
33 – 137
Prediction correct · off by 5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree