Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.3 – 66.06

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.2 ±9.7

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 151.41Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2158the ausTIN CANs

Season APEX 86Event APEX 21.72Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4332RoboCats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 4.17Rank 18Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.5 ±11.6

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -3.65Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 39.8Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 29.91Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 118, 2158, 4332

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 2158, 4332

Auto

40.3 24%

Teleop

94.8 56%

Endgame

33.3 20%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 5%

Blue · 4597, 4063, 6180

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 4063, 6180

Auto

22.2 35%

Teleop

31.3 50%

Endgame

9.1 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 5%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.3pts

Blue projected score66.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 5%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.2
Score range: 48–195
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 102.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

367.2Season APEX184.5

40.3Auto22.2

94.8Teleop31.3

33.3Endgame9.1

41Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	20
teleop	47	27
endgame	24	23
foul	0	0
total	108	70

Result

Final score

108 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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