Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.49 – 146.89

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.6 ±9.1

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -3.75Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 84.83Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 151.41Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 29.27Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 65.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 51.83Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 2583, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 2583, 118

Auto

44.4 19%

Teleop

136.4 60%

Endgame

48.0 21%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8818, 5829, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5829, 10385

Auto

27.7 19%

Teleop

80.3 56%

Endgame

35.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.5pts

Blue projected score146.9pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.6
Score range: 129–250
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 100.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.6Season APEX346.8

44.4Auto27.7

136.4Teleop80.3

48Endgame35.7

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	33
teleop	123	64
endgame	64	35
foul	0	0
total	232	132

Result

Final score

232 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts

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