Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.31 – 146.17

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.6 ±9.1

4597SABERBOTS

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX -3.45Rank 17Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 85.07Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 151.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 29.04Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 65.53Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10385Cycle-Breakers

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 51.6Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4597, 2583, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4597, 2583, 118

Auto

45.0 20%

Teleop

137.9 60%

Endgame

46.2 20%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8818, 5829, 10385

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5829, 10385

Auto

26.1 18%

Teleop

81.4 57%

Endgame

35.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score233.3pts

Blue projected score146.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.1
Score range: 128–251
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 98.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.6Season APEX346.8

45Auto26.1

137.9Teleop81.4

46.2Endgame35.9

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	40
teleop	125	71
endgame	61	36
foul	0	5
total	227	152

Result

Final score

227 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 pts

Match videos

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