Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.44 – 183.06

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 77.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.8 ±9.9

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 3.38Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 106.79Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 176.27Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±11.6

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 85.64Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 84.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11309Gear Owls

Season APEX 28.3Event APEX 13.31Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8573, 5572, 2583

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8573, 5572, 2583

Auto

80.9 29%

Teleop

151.5 54%

Endgame

49.0 17%

Strengths

· 2583 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 436, 6377, 11309

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 436, 6377, 11309

Auto

38.2 21%

Teleop

97.6 53%

Endgame

46.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score286.4pts

Blue projected score183.1pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.4
Score range: 153–316
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 166.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.8Season APEX231.7

80.9Auto38.2

151.5Teleop97.6

49Endgame46.8

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	44
teleop	64	94
endgame	9	25
foul	5	0
total	152	163

Result

Final score

152 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 77.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.