Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

354.35 – 169.76

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

347 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 670.2 ±8.4

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 10.32Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 192.51Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 151.52Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.7 ±9.8

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 74.67Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 64.25Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 30.84Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10913, 6800, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 6800, 118

Auto

67.0 19%

Teleop

208.2 60%

Endgame

71.1 21%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9140, 418, 6901

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9140, 418, 6901

Auto

45.1 27%

Teleop

91.5 55%

Endgame

29.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score354.4pts

Blue projected score169.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.6
Score range: 140–384
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 164.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

670.2Season APEX413.7

67Auto45.1

208.2Teleop91.5

71.1Endgame29.5

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	50
teleop	167	111
endgame	96	65
foul	35	10
total	347	236

Result

Final score

347 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Match videos

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