Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.09 – 64.49

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

435 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 634.1 ±9.1

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 148.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 188.92Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 12.93Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.1 ±12.2

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 17.89Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4076Texan Robotics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 20.6Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8750Tarpontron1cs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 26Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 118, 6800, 7088

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 6800, 7088

Auto

66.6 19%

Teleop

208.2 60%

Endgame

72.0 21%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9577, 4076, 8750

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9577, 4076, 8750

Auto

23.5 39%

Teleop

20.8 35%

Endgame

15.7 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score350.1pts

Blue projected score64.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 285.6
Score range: 35–379
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 160.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

634.1Season APEX136.1

66.6Auto23.5

208.2Teleop20.8

72Endgame15.7

0Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	24
teleop	253	29
endgame	108	24
foul	0	0
total	435	77

Result

Final score

435 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.