Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

264.32 – 101.92

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.8 ±9.9

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX -3.65Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 99.58Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 168.39Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.3 ±11.6

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 21.55Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5103MECH&Cheese

Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 28.57Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 51.8Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8573, 5572, 2583

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8573, 5572, 2583

Auto

79.6 31%

Teleop

136.9 53%

Endgame

42.8 17%

Strengths

· 2583 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6180, 5103, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6180, 5103, 1255

Auto

23.3 23%

Teleop

45.1 44%

Endgame

33.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score264.3pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.4
Score range: 72–294
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 166.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.8Season APEX171.3

79.6Auto23.3

136.9Teleop45.1

42.8Endgame33

0Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	30
teleop	197	65
endgame	78	63
foul	0	0
total	353	158

Result

Final score

353 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.