Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
19.26 – 63.11
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
11 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 6.6 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX -18.19Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 9.39Rank 27Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 28.06Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 0.11Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 39.13Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 23.87Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7088, 11224, 10913
21
/ 100 compatProjected
19.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7088, 11224, 10913
Auto
10.9 54%
Teleop
3.0 15%
Endgame
6.2 31%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8750, 5892, 2789
44
/ 100 compatProjected
63.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8750, 5892, 2789
Auto
9.7 17%
Teleop
38.3 66%
Endgame
10.4 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score19.3pts
Blue projected score63.1pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -43.8
- Score range
- -5–87
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.4Season APEX188.1
10.9Auto9.7
3Teleop38.3
6.2Endgame10.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 16 |
| teleop | 1 | 46 |
| endgame | 1 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 11 | 68 |
Result
Final score
11 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 6.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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