Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.25 – 144.89

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 515.7 ±10.5

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 84.43Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 190.92Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 46.9Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.1 ±11.7

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX 8.77Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 54.37Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 81.75Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 436, 6800, 6901

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 436, 6800, 6901

Auto

60.1 19%

Teleop

168.5 54%

Endgame

85.3 27%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7138, 1255, 418

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7138, 1255, 418

Auto

36.2 25%

Teleop

73.0 51%

Endgame

33.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322.3pts

Blue projected score144.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.4
Score range: 113–354
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 176.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

515.7Season APEX234.1

60.1Auto36.2

168.5Teleop73

85.3Endgame33.6

24Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	29
teleop	183	48
endgame	57	22
foul	0	0
total	296	99

Result

Final score

296 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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