Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.04 – 375.81

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

214 – 433

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±10.5

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 23.82Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 43.62Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 65.6Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 688.3 ±8.4

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 139.93Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 186.75Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 49.13Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2789, 418, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2789, 418, 9140

Auto

43.7 35%

Teleop

59.4 48%

Endgame

20.5 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 118, 6800, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

375.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 6800, 1255

Auto

60.8 16%

Teleop

223.7 60%

Endgame

85.9 23%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score375.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -242.8
Score range: 105–404
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 647 vs event baseline 156.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.9Season APEX688.3

43.7Auto60.8

59.4Teleop223.7

20.5Endgame85.9

55Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	82
teleop	83	262
endgame	76	89
foul	0	0
total	214	433

Result

Final score

214 – 433

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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