Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
67.1 – 103.82
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
64 – 149
Prediction correct · off by 24.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 25.69Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 29.02Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 12.39Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±11
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 25.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 27.36Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 50.89Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6901, 8750, 7088
37
/ 100 compatProjected
67.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6901, 8750, 7088
Auto
23.3 33%
Teleop
28.2 40%
Endgame
19.5 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2587, 5103, 9506
50
/ 100 compatProjected
103.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2587, 5103, 9506
Auto
24.1 23%
Teleop
48.5 46%
Endgame
31.8 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score67.1pts
Blue projected score103.8pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.7
- Score range
- 39–132
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
150.5Season APEX251.9
23.3Auto24.1
28.2Teleop48.5
19.5Endgame31.8
24Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 43 |
| teleop | 20 | 68 |
| endgame | 17 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 64 | 149 |
Result
Final score
64 – 149
Prediction correct · off by 24.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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