Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249 – 57.46

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.3 ±9.8

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 28.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 49.64Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 170.69Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 99.3 ±12.1

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 20.9Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 8.73Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4076Texan Robotics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 27.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2587, 418, 2583

/ 100 compat

Projected

249 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2587, 418, 2583

Auto

82.3 33%

Teleop

127.8 52%

Endgame

37.8 15%

Strengths

· 2583 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7088, 8573, 4076

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7088, 8573, 4076

Auto

22.0 44%

Teleop

19.7 39%

Endgame

8.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249pts

Blue projected score57.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191.5
Score range: 29–277
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 154.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.3Season APEX99.3

82.3Auto22

127.8Teleop19.7

37.8Endgame8.6

51Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	14
teleop	99	1
endgame	59	12
foul	5	0
total	247	27

Result

Final score

247 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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