Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296.17 – 149.03

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.3 ±9.9

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 22.25Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 99.26Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 174.66Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.8 ±12.2

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 93.84Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 23.38Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 31.81Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7088, 5572, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7088, 5572, 6800

Auto

61.8 21%

Teleop

166.7 57%

Endgame

63.9 22%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, 2789, 3545

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 2789, 3545

Auto

24.8 17%

Teleop

74.3 51%

Endgame

47.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score296.2pts

Blue projected score149pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.1
Score range: 122–323
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

629.3Season APEX198.8

61.8Auto24.8

166.7Teleop74.3

63.9Endgame47.4

17Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	22
teleop	171	50
endgame	80	28
foul	0	0
total	295	100

Result

Final score

295 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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