Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.61 – 203.05

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.8 ±11

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 52.94Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 9.46Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 13.21Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.6 ±9.7

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 50.44Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 133.51Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 19.1Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5892, 10913, 8573

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5892, 10913, 8573

Auto

20.7 32%

Teleop

32.6 51%

Endgame

10.8 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1255, 118, 6243

/ 100 compat

Projected

203 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1255, 118, 6243

Auto

43.9 22%

Teleop

109.7 55%

Endgame

46.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.6pts

Blue projected score203pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.4
Score range: 49–230
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 151.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.8Season APEX389.6

20.7Auto43.9

32.6Teleop109.7

10.8Endgame46.3

35Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	38
teleop	29	164
endgame	11	61
foul	0	0
total	51	263

Result

Final score

51 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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