Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.88 – 156.94

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

317 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 141.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±12.4

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 16.65Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 154.07Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11224Azreal

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX -1.84Rank 27Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±11.7

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX -5.27Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 153.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 8.93Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3545, 6800, 11224

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3545, 6800, 11224

Auto

33.9 20%

Teleop

87.5 53%

Endgame

44.5 27%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7138, 2583, 7088

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7138, 2583, 7088

Auto

60.9 38%

Teleop

83.4 52%

Endgame

17.1 11%

Strengths

· 2583 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168.9pts

Blue projected score156.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.9
Score range: 131–195
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 609 vs event baseline 146.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.4Season APEX322.8

33.9Auto60.9

87.5Teleop83.4

44.5Endgame17.1

83Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	75
teleop	168	173
endgame	113	44
foul	0	0
total	317	292

Result

Final score

317 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 141.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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