Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIT District Manor Event

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.33 – 97.06

56%44%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

174 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.3 ±11
2587DiscoBots
C
Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 19.4Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11309Gear Owls
D
Season APEX 28.3Event APEX 8.71Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
6377Howdy Bots
C
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 87.22Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.3 ±11.7
9506Conspiracy Robotics
C
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 45.07Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9577Recoil
D
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 29.51Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8750Tarpontron1cs
D
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 22.48Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2587, 11309, 6377
49
/ 100 compat
Projected
115.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2587, 11309, 6377
Auto
16.1 14%
Teleop
53.2 45%
Endgame
48.1 41%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9506, 9577, 8750
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
97.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9506, 9577, 8750
Auto
30.2 32%
Teleop
48.1 51%
Endgame
16.4 17%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score115.3pts
Blue projected score97.1pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
18.3
Score range
71–141
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 146.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.3Season APEX185.3
16.1Auto30.2
53.2Teleop48.1
48.1Endgame16.4
44Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3623
teleop10157
endgame3249
foul50
total174129

Result

Final score

174 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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