Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.29 – 176.34

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.1 ±10.5

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 9.44Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 143.21Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 90.64Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.6 ±11

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 14.95Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 152.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 8.68Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10913, 2583, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 2583, 436

Auto

59.1 25%

Teleop

132.1 55%

Endgame

47.4 20%

Strengths

· 2583 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3545, 118, 7088

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3545, 118, 7088

Auto

38.2 21%

Teleop

100.9 56%

Endgame

41.3 23%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score243.3pts

Blue projected score176.3pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.9
Score range: 150–269
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 430 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.1Season APEX317.6

59.1Auto38.2

132.1Teleop100.9

47.4Endgame41.3

0Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	56
teleop	111	73
endgame	39	32
foul	20	0
total	269	161

Result

Final score

269 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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